Download the SAS Output file: nutrient2.lst
The first column of the Means Procedure table above gives the variable name. The second column reports the sample size. This is then followed by the sample means (third column) and the sample standard deviations (fourth column) for each variable. I have copied these values into the table below. I have also rounded these numbers a bit to make them easier to use for this example.
Here are the steps to find the descriptive statistics for the Women's Nutrition dataset in Minitab:
A summary of the descriptive statistics is given here for ease of reference.
Variable | Mean | Standard Deviation |
---|---|---|
Calcium | 624.0 mg | 397.3 mg |
Iron | 11.1 mg | 6.0 mg |
Protein | 65.8 mg | 30.6 mg |
Vitamin A | 839.6 μg | 1634.0 μg |
Vitamin C | 78.9 mg | 73.6 mg |
Notice that the standard deviations are large relative to their respective means, especially for Vitamin A & C. This would indicate a high variability among women in nutrient intake. However, whether the standard deviations are relatively large or not, will depend on the context of the application. Skill in interpreting the statistical analysis depends very much on the researcher's subject matter knowledge.
The variance-covariance matrix is also copied into the matrix below.
\[S = \left(\begin{array}{RRRRR}157829.4 & 940.1 & 6075.8 & 102411.1 & 6701.6 \\ 940.1 & 35.8 & 114.1 & 2383.2 & 137.7 \\ 6075.8 & 114.1 & 934.9 & 7330.1 & 477.2 \\ 102411.1 & 2383.2 & 7330.1 & 2668452.4 & 22063.3 \\ 6701.6 & 137.7 & 477.2 & 22063.3 & 5416.3 \end{array}\right)\]
Because this covariance is positive, we see that calcium intake tends to increase with increasing iron intake. The strength of this positive association can only be judged by comparing s 12 to the product of the sample standard deviations for calcium and iron. This comparison is most readily accomplished by looking at the sample correlation between the two variables.
The sample correlations are included in the table below.
Calcium | Iron | Protein | Vit. A | Vit. C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Calcium | 1.000 | 0.395 | 0.500 | 0.158 | 0.229 |
Iron | 0.395 | 1.000 | 0.623 | 0.244 | 0.313 |
Protein | 0.500 | 0.623 | 1.000 | 0.147 | 0.212 |
Vit. A | 0.158 | 0.244< | 0.147 | 1.000 | 0.184 |
Vit. C | 0.229 | 0.313 | 0.212 | 0.184 | 1.000 |
Here we can see that the correlation between each of the variables and themselves is all equal to one, and the off-diagonal elements give the correlation between each of the pairs of variables.
Generally, we look for the strongest correlations first. The results above suggest that protein, iron, and calcium are all positively associated. Each of these three nutrient increases with increasing values of the remaining two.
The coefficient of determination is another measure of association and is simply equal to the square of the correlation. For example, in this case, the coefficient of determination between protein and iron is \((0.623)^2\) or about 0.388.
\[r^2_{23} = 0.62337^2 = 0.38859\]
This says that about 39% of the variation in iron intake is explained by protein intake. Or, conversely, 39% of the protein intake is explained by the variation in the iron intake. Both interpretations are equivalent.
Descriptive statistics and visualizations, descriptive statistics and outliers.
Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and behavioral finance. Adam received his master's in economics from The New School for Social Research and his Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison in sociology. He is a CFA charterholder as well as holding FINRA Series 7, 55 & 63 licenses. He currently researches and teaches economic sociology and the social studies of finance at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.
Descriptive statistics are brief informational coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire population or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread). Measures of central tendency include the mean , median , and mode , while measures of variability include standard deviation , variance , minimum and maximum variables, kurtosis , and skewness .
Jessica Olah
Descriptive statistics help describe and explain the features of a specific data set by giving short summaries about the sample and measures of the data. The most recognized types of descriptive statistics are measures of center. For example, the mean, median, and mode, which are used at almost all levels of math and statistics, are used to define and describe a data set. The mean, or the average, is calculated by adding all the figures within the data set and then dividing by the number of figures within the set.
For example, the sum of the following data set is 20: (2, 3, 4, 5, 6). The mean is 4 (20/5). The mode of a data set is the value appearing most often, and the median is the figure situated in the middle of the data set. It is the figure separating the higher figures from the lower figures within a data set. However, there are less common types of descriptive statistics that are still very important.
People use descriptive statistics to repurpose hard-to-understand quantitative insights across a large data set into bite-sized descriptions. A student's grade point average (GPA), for example, provides a good understanding of descriptive statistics. The idea of a GPA is that it takes data points from a range of individual course grades, and averages them together to provide a general understanding of a student's overall academic performance. A student's personal GPA reflects their mean academic performance.
Descriptive statistics, especially in fields such as medicine, often visually depict data using scatter plots, histograms, line graphs, or stem and leaf displays. We'll talk more about visuals later in this article.
All descriptive statistics are either measures of central tendency or measures of variability , also known as measures of dispersion.
Measures of central tendency focus on the average or middle values of data sets, whereas measures of variability focus on the dispersion of data. These two measures use graphs, tables, and general discussions to help people understand the meaning of the analyzed data.
Measures of central tendency describe the center position of a distribution for a data set. A person analyzes the frequency of each data point in the distribution and describes it using the mean, median, or mode, which measures the most common patterns of the analyzed data set.
Measures of variability (or measures of spread) aid in analyzing how dispersed the distribution is for a set of data. For example, while the measures of central tendency may give a person the average of a data set, it does not describe how the data is distributed within the set.
So while the average of the data might be 65 out of 100, there can still be data points at both 1 and 100. Measures of variability help communicate this by describing the shape and spread of the data set. Range, quartiles , absolute deviation, and variance are all examples of measures of variability.
Consider the following data set: 5, 19, 24, 62, 91, 100. The range of that data set is 95, which is calculated by subtracting the lowest number (5) in the data set from the highest (100).
Distribution (or frequency distribution) refers to the number of times a data point occurs. Alternatively, it can be how many times a data point fails to occur. Consider this data set: male, male, female, female, female, other. The distribution of this data can be classified as:
In descriptive statistics, univariate data analyzes only one variable. It is used to identify characteristics of a single trait and is not used to analyze any relationships or causations.
For example, imagine a room full of high school students. Say you wanted to gather the average age of the individuals in the room. This univariate data is only dependent on one factor: each person's age. By gathering this one piece of information from each person and dividing by the total number of people, you can determine the average age.
Bivariate data, on the other hand, attempts to link two variables by searching for correlation. Two types of data are collected, and the relationship between the two pieces of information is analyzed together. Because multiple variables are analyzed, this approach may also be referred to as multivariate .
Let's say each high school student in the example above takes a college assessment test, and we want to see whether older students are testing better than younger students. In addition to gathering the ages of the students, we need to find out each student's test score. Then, using data analytics, we mathematically or graphically depict whether there is a relationship between student age and test scores.
The preparation and reporting of financial statements is an example of descriptive statistics. Analyzing that financial information to make decisions on the future is inferential statistics.
One essential aspect of descriptive statistics is graphical representation. Visualizing data distributions effectively can be incredibly powerful, and this is done in several ways.
Histograms are tools for displaying the distribution of numerical data. They divide the data into bins or intervals and represent the frequency or count of data points falling into each bin through bars of varying heights. Histograms help identify the shape of the distribution, central tendency, and variability of the data.
Another visualization is boxplots. Boxplots, also known as box-and-whisker plots, provide a concise summary of a data distribution by highlighting key summary statistics including the median (middle line inside the box), quartiles (edges of the box), and potential outliers (points outside, or the "whiskers"). Boxplots visually depict the spread and skewness of the data and are particularly useful for comparing distributions across different groups or variables.
Whenever descriptive statistics are being discussed, it's important to note outliers. Outliers are data points that significantly differ from other observations in a dataset. These could be errors, anomalies, or rare events within the data.
Detecting and managing outliers is a step in descriptive statistics to ensure accurate and reliable data analysis. To identify outliers, you can use graphical techniques (such as boxplots or scatter plots) or statistical methods (such as Z-score or IQR method). These approaches help pinpoint observations that deviate substantially from the overall pattern of the data.
The presence of outliers can have a notable impact on descriptive statistics, skewing results and affecting the interpretation of data. Outliers can disproportionately influence measures of central tendency, such as the mean, pulling it towards their extreme values. For example, the dataset of (1, 1, 1, 997) is 250, even though that is hardly representative of the dataset. This distortion can lead to misleading conclusions about the typical behavior of the dataset.
Depending on the context, outliers can often be treated by removing them (if they are genuinely erroneous or irrelevant). Alternatively, outliers may hold important information and should be kept for the value they may be able to demonstrate. As you analyze your data, consider the relevance of what outliers can contribute and whether it makes more sense to just strike those data points from your descriptive statistic calculations.
Descriptive statistics have a different function from inferential statistics, which are data sets that are used to make decisions or apply characteristics from one data set to another.
Imagine another example where a company sells hot sauce. The company gathers data such as the count of sales , average quantity purchased per transaction , and average sale per day of the week. All of this information is descriptive, as it tells a story of what actually happened in the past. In this case, it is not being used beyond being informational.
Now let's say that the company wants to roll out a new hot sauce. It gathers the same sales data above, but it uses the information to make predictions about what the sales of the new hot sauce will be. The act of using descriptive statistics and applying characteristics to a different data set makes the data set inferential statistics. We are no longer simply summarizing data; we are using it to predict what will happen regarding an entirely different body of data (in this case, the new hot sauce product).
Descriptive statistics is a means of describing features of a data set by generating summaries about data samples. For example, a population census may include descriptive statistics regarding the ratio of men and women in a specific city.
In recapping a Major League Baseball season, for example, descriptive statistics might include team batting averages, the number of runs allowed per team, and the average wins per division.
The main purpose of descriptive statistics is to provide information about a data set. In the example above, there are dozens of baseball teams, hundreds of players, and thousands of games. Descriptive statistics summarizes large amounts of data into useful bits of information.
The three main types of descriptive statistics are frequency distribution, central tendency, and variability of a data set. The frequency distribution records how often data occurs, central tendency records the data's center point of distribution, and variability of a data set records its degree of dispersion.
Technically speaking, descriptive statistics only serves to help understand historical data attributes. Inferential statistics—a separate branch of statistics—is used to understand how variables interact with one another in a data set and possibly predict what might happen in the future.
Descriptive statistics refers to the analysis, summary, and communication of findings that describe a data set. Often not useful for decision-making, descriptive statistics still hold value in explaining high-level summaries of a set of information such as the mean, median, mode, variance, range, and count of information.
Purdue Online Writing Lab. " Writing with Statistics: Descriptive Statistics ."
National Library of Medicine. " Descriptive Statistics for Summarizing Data ."
CSUN.edu. " Measures of Variability, Descriptive Statistics Part 2 ."
Math.Kent.edu. " Summary: Differences Between Univariate and Bivariate Data ."
Purdue Online Writing Lab. " Writing with Statistics: Basic Inferential Statistics: Theory and Application ."
Descriptive statistics is a subfield of statistics that deals with characterizing the features of known data. Descriptive statistics give summaries of either population or sample data. Aside from descriptive statistics, inferential statistics is another important discipline of statistics used to draw conclusions about population data.
Descriptive statistics is divided into two categories:
Measures of dispersion.
In this article, we will learn about descriptive statistics, including their many categories, formulae, and examples in detail.
Descriptive statistics is a branch of statistics focused on summarizing, organizing, and presenting data in a clear and understandable way. Its primary aim is to define and analyze the fundamental characteristics of a dataset without making sweeping generalizations or assumptions about the entire data set.
The main purpose of descriptive statistics is to provide a straightforward and concise overview of the data, enabling researchers or analysts to gain insights and understand patterns, trends, and distributions within the dataset.
Descriptive statistics typically involve measures of central tendency (such as mean, median, mode), dispersion (such as range, variance, standard deviation), and distribution shape (including skewness and kurtosis). Additionally, graphical representations like charts, graphs, and tables are commonly used to visualize and interpret the data.
Histograms, bar charts, pie charts, scatter plots, and box plots are some examples of widely used graphical techniques in descriptive statistics.
Descriptive statistics is a type of statistical analysis that uses quantitative methods to summarize the features of a population sample. It is useful to present easy and exact summaries of the sample and observations using metrics such as mean, median, variance, graphs, and charts.
There are three types of descriptive statistics:
The central tendency is defined as a statistical measure that may be used to describe a complete distribution or dataset with a single value, known as a measure of central tendency. Any of the central tendency measures accurately describes the whole data distribution. In the following sections, we will look at the central tendency measures, their formulae, applications, and kinds in depth.
Mean is the sum of all the components in a group or collection divided by the number of items in that group or collection. Mean of a data collection is typically represented as x̄ (pronounced “x bar”). The formula for calculating the mean for ungrouped data to express it as the measure is given as follows:
For a series of observations:
x̄ = Σx / n
Example: Weights of 7 girls in kg are 54, 32, 45, 61, 20, 66 and 50. Determine the mean weight for the provided collection of data.
Mean = Σx/n = (54 + 32 + 45 + 61 + 20 + 66 + 50)/7 = 328 / 7 = 46.85 Thus, the group’s mean weight is 46.85 kg.
Median of a data set is the value of the middle-most observation obtained after organizing the data in ascending order, which is one of the measures of central tendency. Median formula may be used to compute the median for many types of data, such as grouped and ungrouped data.
Ungrouped Data Median (n is odd): [(n + 1)/2] th term Ungrouped Data Median (n is even): [(n / 2) th term + ((n / 2) + 1) th term]/2
Example: Weights of 7 girls in kg are 54, 32, 45, 61, 20, 66 and 50. Determine the median weight for the provided collection of data.
Arrange the provided data collection in ascending order: 20, 32, 45, 50, 54, 61, 66 Median = [(n + 1) / 2] th term = [(7 + 1) / 2] th term = 4 th term = 50 Thus, group’s median weight is 50 kg.
Mode is one of the measures of central tendency, defined as the value that appears the most frequently in the provided data, i.e. the observation with the highest frequency is known as the mode of data. The mode formulae provided below can be used to compute the mode for ungrouped data.
Mode of Ungrouped Data: Most Repeated Observation in Dataset
Example: Weights of 7 girls in kg are 54, 32, 45, 61, 20, 45 and 50. Determine the mode weight for the provided collection of data.
Mode = Most repeated observation in Dataset = 45 Thus, group’s mode weight is 45 kg.
If the variability of data within an experiment must be established, absolute measures of variability should be employed. These metrics often reflect differences in a data collection in terms of the average deviations of the observations. The most prevalent absolute measurements of deviation are mentioned below. In the following sections, we will look at the variability measures, their formulae in depth.
The range represents the spread of your data from the lowest to the highest value in the distribution. It is the most straightforward measure of variability to compute. To get the range, subtract the data set’s lowest and highest values.
Range = Highest Value – Lowest Value
Example: Calculate the range of the following data series: 5, 13, 32, 42, 15, 84
Arrange the provided data series in ascending order: 5, 13, 15, 32, 42, 84 Range = H – L = 84 – 5 = 79 So, the range is 79.
Standard deviation (s or SD) represents the average level of variability in your dataset. It represents the average deviation of each score from the mean. The higher the standard deviation, the more varied the dataset is.
To calculate standard deviation, follow these six steps:
Step 1: Make a list of each score and calculate the mean.
Step 2: Calculate deviation from the mean, by subtracting the mean from each score.
Step 3: Square each of these differences.
Step 4: Sum up all squared variances.
Step 5: Divide the total of squared variances by N-1.
Step 6: Find the square root of the number that you discovered.
Example: Calculate standard deviation of the following data series: 5, 13, 32, 42, 15, 84.
Step 1: First we have to calculate the mean of following series using formula: Σx / n
Step 2: Now calculate the deviation from mean, subtract the mean from each series.
Step 3: Squared the deviation from mean and then add all the deviation.
Series | Deviation from Mean | Squared Deviation |
---|---|---|
5 | 5-31.83 = -26.83 | 719.85 |
13 | 13-31.83 = -18.83 | 354.57 |
32 | 32-31.83 = 0.17 | 0.0289 |
42 | 42-31.83 = 10.17 | 103.43 |
15 | 15-31.83 = -16.83 | 283.25 |
84 | 84-31.83 = 52.17 | 2721.71 |
Mean = 191/6 = 31.83 | sum = 0 | Sum = 4182.84 |
Step 4: Divide the squared deviation with N-1 => 4182.84 / 5 = 836.57
Step 5: √836.57 = 28.92
So, the standard deviation is 28.92
Variance is calculated as average of squared departures from the mean. Variance measures the degree of dispersion in a data collection. The more scattered the data, the larger the variance in relation to the mean. To calculate the variance, square the standard deviation.
Symbol for variance is s 2
Example: Calculate the variance of the following data series: 5, 13, 32, 42, 15, 84.
First we have to calculate the standard deviation, that we calculate above i.e. SD = 28.92 s 2 = (SD) 2 = (28.92) 2 = 836.37 So, the variance is 836.37
Mean Deviation is used to find the average of the absolute value of the data about the mean, median, or mode. Mean Deviation is some times also known as absolute deviation. The formula mean deviation is given as follows:
Mean Deviation = ∑ n 1 |X – μ|/n
Quartile Deviation is the Half of difference between the third and first quartile. The formula for quartile deviation is given as follows:
Quartile Deviation = (Q 3 − Q 1 )/2
Other measures of dispersion include the relative measures also known as the coefficients of dispersion.
Datasets consist of various scores or values. Statisticians employ graphs and tables to summarize the occurrence of each possible value of a variable, often presented in percentages or numerical figures.
For instance, suppose you were conducting a poll to determine people’s favorite Beatles. You would create one column listing all potential options (John, Paul, George, and Ringo) and another column indicating the number of votes each received. Statisticians represent these frequency distributions through graphs or tables
Univariate descriptive statistics focus on one thing at a time. We look at each thing individually and use different ways to understand it better. Programs like SPSS and Excel can help us with this.
If we only look at the average (mean) of something, like how much people earn, it might not give us the true picture, especially if some people earn a lot more or less than others. Instead, we can also look at other things like the middle value (median) or the one that appears most often (mode). And to understand how spread out the values are, we use things like standard deviation and variance along with the range.
When we have information about more than one thing, we can use bivariate or multivariate descriptive statistics to see if they are related. Bivariate analysis compares two things to see if they change together. Before doing any more complicated tests, it’s important to look at how the two things compare in the middle.
Multivariate analysis is similar to bivariate analysis, but it looks at more than two things at once, which helps us understand relationships even better.
Descriptive statistics use a variety of ways to summarize and present data in an understandable manner. This helps us grasp the data set’s patterns, trends, and properties.
Frequency Distribution Tables: Frequency distribution tables divide data into categories or intervals and display the number of observations (frequency) that fall into each one. For example, suppose we have a class of 20 students and are tracking their test scores. We may make a frequency distribution table that contains score ranges (e.g., 0-10, 11-20) and displays how many students scored in each range.
Graphs and Charts: Graphs and charts graphically display data, making it simpler to understand and analyze. For example, using the same test score data, we may generate a bar graph with the x-axis representing score ranges and the y-axis representing the number of students. Each bar on the graph represents a score range, and its height shows the number of students scoring within that range.
These approaches help us summarize and visualize data, making it easier to discover trends, patterns, and outliers, which is critical for making informed decisions and reaching meaningful conclusions in a variety of sectors.
Descriptive statistics are used in a variety of sectors to summarize, organize, and display data in a meaningful and intelligible way. Here are a few popular applications:
Difference between Descriptive Statistics and Inferential Statistics is studied using the table added below as,
Descriptive Statistics vs Inferential Statistics | |
---|---|
Descriptive Statistics |
|
Does not need making predictions or generalizations outside the dataset. | This involves making forecasts or generalizations about a wider population. |
Gives basic summary of the sample. | Concludes about the population based on the sample. |
include mean, median, mode, standard deviation, etc. | include hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, etc. |
Focuses on the properties of the current dataset. | Concentrates on drawing conclusions about the population from sample data. |
Helpful for comprehending data patterns and linkages. | Useful for making judgements, predictions, and drawing inferences that go beyond the observed facts. |
Example 1: Calculate the Mean, Median and Mode for the following series: {4, 8, 9, 10, 6, 12, 14, 4, 5, 3, 4}
First, we are going to calculate the mean. Mean = Σx / n = (4 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 6 + 12 + 14 + 4 + 5 + 3 + 4)/11 = 79 / 11 = 7.1818 Thus, the Mean is 7.1818. Now, we are going to calculate the median. Arrange the provided data collection in ascending order: 3, 4, 4, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10, 12, 14 Median = [(n + 1) / 2] th term = [(11 + 1) / 2] th term = 6 th term = 6 Thus, the median is 6. Now, we are going to calculate the mode. Mode = The most repeated observation in the dataset = 4 Thus, the mode is 4.
Example 2: Calculate the Range for the following series: {4, 8, 9, 10, 6, 12, 14, 4, 5, 3, 4}
Arrange the provided data series in ascending order: 3, 4, 4, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10, 12, 14 Range = H – L = 14 – 3 = 11 So, the range is 11.
Example 3: Calculate the standard deviation and variance of following data: {12, 24, 36, 48, 10, 18}
First we are going to compute standard deviation. For standard deviation calculate the mean, deviation from mean and squared deviation.
Series | Deviation from Mean | Squared Deviation |
---|---|---|
12 | 12-24.66 = -12.66 | 160.28 |
24 | 24-24.66 = -0.66 | 0.436 |
36 | 36-24.66 = 11.34 | 128.595 |
48 | 48-24.66 = 23.34 | 544.76 |
10 | 10-24.66 = -14.66 | 214.92 |
18 | 18-24.66 = -6.66 | 44.36 |
Mean = 148/6 = 24.66 | sum = 0 | Sum = 1093.351 |
Dividing squared deviation with N-1 => 1093.351 / 5 = 218.67
√(218.67) = 14.79
So, the standard deviation is 14.79.
Now we are going to calculate the variance.
s 2 = 218.744
So, the variance is 218.744
P1) Determine the sample variance of the following series: {17, 21, 52, 28, 26, 23}
P2) Determine the mean and mode of the following series: {21, 14, 56, 41, 18, 15, 18, 21, 15, 18}
P3) Find the median of the following series: {7, 24, 12, 8, 6, 23, 11}
P4) Find the standard deviation and variance of the following series: {17, 28, 42, 48, 36, 42, 20}
What is meant by descriptive statistics.
Descriptive statistics seek to summarize, organize, and display data in an accessible manner while avoiding making sweeping generalizations about the whole population. It aids in discovering patterns, trends, and distributions within the collection.
Mean is computed by adding together all of the values in the dataset and dividing them by the total number of observations. It measures the dataset’s central tendency or average value.
Measures of variability, such as range, standard deviation, and variance, aid in quantifying the spread or dispersion of data points around the mean. They give insights on the dataset’s variety and consistency.
The median is the midpoint value of a dataset whether sorted ascending or descending. It measures central tendency and is important when dealing with skewed data or outliers.
Measures of frequency distribution summarize the incidence of various values or categories within a dataset. They give insights into the distribution pattern of the data and are commonly represented by graphs or tables.
Inferential statistics use sample data to draw inferences or make predictions about a wider population, whereas descriptive statistics summarize aspects of known data. Descriptive statistics concentrate on the present dataset, whereas inferential statistics go beyond the observable data.
Descriptive statistics give researchers and analysts a clear and straightforward summary of the dataset, helping them to identify patterns, trends, and distributions. It aids in making educated judgements and gaining valuable insights from data.
There are four major types of descriptive statistics: Measures of Frequency Measures of Central Tendency Measures of Dispersion or Variation Measures of Position
Descriptive statistics examples include the study of mean, median, and mode.
Similar reads.
Table of contents, introduction.
How are statistical research questions for quantitative analysis written? This article provides five examples of statistical research questions that will allow statistical analysis to take place.
In quantitative research projects, writing statistical research questions requires a good understanding and the ability to discern the type of data that you will analyze. This knowledge is elemental in framing research questions that shall guide you in identifying the appropriate statistical test to use in your research.
Thus, before writing your statistical research questions and reading the examples in this article, read first the article that enumerates the four types of measurement scales . Knowing the four types of measurement scales will enable you to appreciate the formulation or structuring of research questions.
In writing the statistical research questions, I provide a topic that shows the variables of the study, the study description, and a link to the original scientific article to give you a glimpse of the real-world examples.
A study was conducted to determine the relationship between physical fitness and academic achievement. The subjects of the study include school children in urban schools.
Is there a significant relationship between physical fitness and academic achievement?
To allow statistical analysis to take place, there is a need to define what is physical fitness, as well as academic achievement. The researchers measured physical fitness in terms of the number of physical fitness tests that the students passed during their physical education class. It’s simply counting the ‘number of PE tests passed.’
On the other hand, the researchers measured academic achievement in terms of a passing score in Mathematics and English. The variable is the number of passing scores in both Mathematics and English.
Given the statistical research question, the appropriate statistical test can be applied to determine the relationship. A Pearson correlation coefficient test will test the significance and degree of the relationship. But the more sophisticated higher level statistical test can be applied if there is a need to correlate with other variables.
In the particular study mentioned, the researchers used multivariate logistic regression analyses to assess the probability of passing the tests, controlling for students’ weight status, ethnicity, gender, grade, and socioeconomic status. For the novice researcher, this requires further study of multivariate (or many variables) statistical tests. You may study it on your own.
Most of what I discuss in the statistics articles I wrote came from self-study. It’s easier to understand concepts now as there are a lot of resource materials available online. Videos and ebooks from places like Youtube, Veoh, The Internet Archives, among others, provide free educational materials. Online education will be the norm of the future. I describe this situation in my post about Education 4.0 .
This study attempted to correlate climate conditions with the decision of people in Ecuador to consume bottled water, including the volume consumed. Specifically, the researchers investigated if the increase in average ambient temperature affects the consumption of bottled water.
Is there a significant relationship between average temperature and amount of bottled water consumed?
Now, it’s easy to identify the statistical test to analyze the relationship between the two variables. You may refer to my previous post titled Parametric Statistics: Four Widely Used Parametric Tests and When to Use Them . Using the figure supplied in that article, the appropriate test to use is, again, Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient.
Source: Zapata (2021)
Statistical research question no. 3.
Note that this study on COVID-19 looked into three variables, namely 1) number of unique employees working in skilled nursing homes, 2) number of weekly confirmed cases among residents and staff, and 3) number of weekly COVID-19 deaths among residents.
We call the variable number of unique employees the independent variable , and the other two variables ( number of weekly confirmed cases among residents and staff and number of weekly COVID-19 deaths among residents ) as the dependent variables .
A simple Pearson test may be used to correlate one variable with another variable. But the study used multiple variables. Hence, they produced regression models that show how multiple variables affect the outcome. Some of the variables in the study may be redundant, meaning, those variables may represent the same attribute of a population. Stepwise multiple regression models take care of those redundancies. Using this statistical test requires further study and experience.
Scientific evidence has shown that surrounding greenness has multiple health-related benefits. Health benefits include better cognitive functioning or better intellectual activity such as thinking, reasoning, or remembering things. These findings, however, are not well understood. A study, therefore, analyzed the relationship between surrounding greenness and memory performance, with stress as a mediating variable.
As this article is behind a paywall and we cannot see the full article, we can content ourselves with the knowledge that three major variables were explored in this study. These are 1) exposure to and use of natural environments, 2) stress, and 3) memory performance.
As you become more familiar and well-versed in identifying the variables you would like to investigate in your study, reading studies like this requires reading the method or methodology section. This section will tell you how the researchers measured the variables of their study. Knowing how those variables are quantified can help you design your research and formulate the appropriate statistical research questions.
This recent finding is an interesting read and is available online. Just click on the link I provide as the source below. The study sought to determine if income plays a role in people’s happiness across three age groups: young (18-30 years), middle (31-64 years), and old (65 or older). The literature review suggests that income has a positive effect on an individual’s sense of happiness. That’s because more money increases opportunities to fulfill dreams and buy more goods and services.
If you click on the link to the full text of the paper on pages 10 and 11, you will read that the researcher measured happiness using a 10-point scale. The scale was categorized into three namely, 1) unhappy, 2) happy, and 3) very happy.
An investigation was conducted to determine if the size of nursing home staff and the number of COVID-19 cases are correlated. Specifically, they looked into the number of unique employees working daily, and the outcomes include weekly counts of confirmed COVID-19 cases among residents and staff and weekly COVID-19 deaths among residents.
Is there a significant relationship between income and happiness?
I do hope that upon reaching this part of the article, you are now well familiar on how to write statistical research questions. Practice makes perfect.
Lega, C., Gidlow, C., Jones, M., Ellis, N., & Hurst, G. (2021). The relationship between surrounding greenness, stress and memory. Urban Forestry & Urban Greening , 59 , 126974.
Måseide, H. (2021). Income and Happiness: Does the relationship vary with age?
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Descriptive statistics are the appropriate analyses when the goal of the research is to present the participants’ responses to survey items in order to address the research questions. There are no hypotheses in descriptive statistics.
Descriptive statistics include: frequencies and percentages for categorical (ordinal and nominal) data; and averages (means, medians, and/or ranges) and standard deviations for continuous data. Frequency is the number of participants that fit into a certain category or group; it is beneficial to know the percent of the sample that coincides with that category/group. Percentages can be calculated to assess the percent of the sample that corresponds with the given frequency; typically presented without decimal places (according to APA 6 th ed. standards). Typically, the average that is calculated/presented is the mean. Means describe the average unit for a continuous item; and standard deviations describe the spread of those units in reference to the mean.
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Example: a study was conducted on a group of college students about specific courses offered, where the questions had “check all that apply” responses. The study’s research question asked “What courses offered to college students are most prevalent?” Descriptive statistics would be the appropriate analysis to address the research question. Frequencies and percentages could be conducted on the survey’s listed courses that students took/registered for. See the table below for details.
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The study aims to examine the long-term cointegration between the democracy index and foreign direct investment (FDI). The sample group chosen for this investigation comprises BRICS-TM (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Turkey [Türkiye], and Mexico) countries due to their increasing strategic importance and potential growth in the global economy. Data from 1994 to 2018 were analyzed, with panel data analysis techniques employed to accommodate potential structural breaks. The level of democracy serves as the independent variable in the model, while FDI is the dependent variable. Inflation and income per capita are considered control variables due to their impact on FDI. The analysis revealed a long-term relationship with structural breaks among the model’s variables. Democratic progress and FDI demonstrate a correlated, balanced relationship over time in these countries. Therefore, governments and policymakers in emerging economies aiming to attract FDI should account for structural breaks and the correlation between democracy and FDI. Furthermore, the Kónya causality tests revealed a causality from democracy to FDI at a 1% significance level in Mexico, 5% in China, and 10% in Russia. From FDI to democracy (DEMOC), there is causality at a 5% significance level in Mexico and a 10% significance level in Russia. Thus, the findings suggest that supporting democratic development with macroeconomic indicators in BRICS-TM countries will positively impact foreign direct capital inflows.
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Economies and governments require capital infusion to augment their production and employment levels. Underdeveloped and developing nations, despite having an abundance of land and labor, grapple with capital deficiencies. Consequently, these countries often seek foreign direct investment (FDI) to address this capital shortfall. Even emerging market economies are not immune to this phenomenon, with challenges intensifying globally post-COVID-19 pandemic. Khan et al. ( 2023 ) highlighted the pivotal role of institutional quality and good governance in attracting FDI. The need for FDI has grown exponentially in an increasingly globalized world characterized by interdependence among states. Democracy and the democratic status of states emerge as critical indicators of institutional quality. Kilci and Yilanci ( 2022 ) posit that the prolonged pandemic triggered the third most significant recession since the Great Depression of 1929 and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008–2009. Consequently, the demand for FDI has surged, positioning foreign investment as the foremost resource for fostering sustainable economic development. In light of the provided frame, this study addresses the following research questions:
What factors attract foreign direct investment to a country?
Which factors positively impact FDI?
Reviewing the existing literature reveals that scholars from diverse disciplines address similar questions using political variables like political stability and democracy levels or economic variables such as economic stability and natural resources . However, the impact of democracy on FDI is often overlooked . For example, studies by Baghestani et al. ( 2019 ) and Gür ( 2020 ) investigated variables like oil prices, exchange rates, exports, imports, and the global innovation index but seldom considered democracy’s role in attracting FDI . Similarly, studies examining the relationship between democracy and FDI, like those by Yusuf et al. ( 2020 ) and Ahmed et al. ( 2021 ), generally excluded data from BRICS-TM countries.
Li and Resnick ( 2003 ) assert that the two paramount features of modern international political economy are the proliferation of democracy and increased economic globalization . It has become apparent that FDI inflow is a manifestation of high-level globalization and the diffusion of democracy. According to the United Nations Conferences on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), 2002 data between 1990 and 2000, three-quarters of the total international foreign direct capital was directed toward democratic and developed countries (Busse, 2003 ).
The conceptualization of democracy, within both theoretical and historical frameworks, has been marked by inherent challenges (Suny, 2017 ). Aliefendioğlu ( 2005 ) defines democracy as the amalgamation of the ancient Greek terms “Demos” and “Kratos,” centered on the principle of self-governance by the people. In essence, democracy encompasses the utilization of popular sovereignty by and for the citizenry (Keser et al., 2023 ). Haydaroğlu and Gülşah ( 2016 ) contend that the contemporary manifestation of democracies is rooted in representative democracy, wherein individuals exercise their sovereignty by selecting representatives to act on their behalf. The spread of liberal or representative democracy is believed to be a driving force behind this shift in economic structures. The relational intersection between FDI flow and democratic mechanisms needs to be investigated. At this point, Voicu and Peral ( 2014 ) argue that economic development and modernization operate as background factors that affect the development of support for democracy. Therefore, an opinion emerges that there is an inevitable intersection between FDI flow and democratic mechanism.
Despite the sustained attention from academia and the public, the detailed understanding of democracy’s effect on FDI remains limited (Li & Resnick, 2003 ). There is a noticeable gap in the literature concerning studies investigating the impact of democracy on FDI, specifically in BRICS-TM countries , which are emerging markets that attract significant FDI. Moreover, the absence of structural break panel cointegration tests in previous analyses accentuates these gaps, forming the primary motivation for this research . The study aims to fill these voids by empirically examining the relationship between democracy and FDI using data from the emerging markets of BRICS-TM countries. These countries require substantial foreign capital and are crucial for the stable development of the global economy since they are expected to become pivotal centers in the multipolar world system. The study differs from other publications, employing unique methods, such as structural break panel cointegration tests, to address these objectives.
Reducing costs, increasing employment-oriented production, and enhancing export capacity are paramount in global competition. If a country cannot achieve these advancements with its existing potential and dynamics, attracting foreign capital becomes imperative, necessitating the creation of multiple attraction points to entice foreign direct investments. Consequently, attracting foreign capital is significant in today’s globalized world. This study provides insights into this pressing issue in the contemporary global competitive landscape by analyzing the long-term relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment. Considering their prominence in the world economy due to recent economic growth and competitive structures, the selection of BRICS-TM countries as a sample group underscores the study’s importance. The study acknowledges the strategic importance and increasing power of BRICS-TM countries, especially China and India, which have consistently attracted significant foreign capital in recent years. Using panel data analysis techniques that incorporate structural breaks addresses a crucial gap in the literature, offering a more accurate analysis of the democracy-foreign direct investment relationship in the BRICS-TM sample group. However, data constraints related to model variables alongside the limitations of evaluating results within the framework of the chosen sample group are acknowledged later in the “ Discussion ” section.
Lastly, there appears to be a gap in the existing literature concerning studies that investigate the impact of democracy on FDI flow in BRICS-TM countries . The countries that attract more FDI than others raise the question of whether their democracy level empirically influences the amount of FDI. Moreover, upon examining the limited studies exploring the relationship between democracy and FDI, it is evident that none applied the structural break panel cointegration test in their analyses. These gaps collectively serve as the primary motivation for this research. Thus, the study aims to address these gaps in the existing literature and scrutinizes whether there is cointegration between the level of democracy and FDI in a country by utilizing sample group data from emerging markets of BRICS-TM countries. This selection is significant as these countries are among emerging economies with considerable developmental potential. In essence, this study aims to empirically unveil the relationship between democracy and FDI , a crucial requirement for developing economies striving to attract more foreign capital for sustainable development . Additionally, this study employs distinctive methods, such as the structural break panel cointegration test, to investigate the subject, further elaborated in the “ Research Method and Econometric Analysis ” section.
In global competition, the imperative to reduce costs, increase employment-oriented production, and enhance export capacity is paramount. Given a country’s potential and dynamics, if these enhancements prove elusive, the necessity arises to attract foreign capital and establish various attraction points to incentivize foreign direct investments. Therefore, attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) to a country holds tremendous significance in today’s globalized world. Before investing, foreign capital rigorously assesses the potential profit opportunities and scrutinizes various socio-economic indicators, especially democracy. For these reasons, by analyzing the long-term relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment in the BRICS-TM sample, this study incorporates analyses and inferences regarding this crucial challenge in today’s globally competitive environment.
Furthermore, it is anticipated that the strategic importance and influence of BRICS-TM countries will continue to escalate in the upcoming years. Notably, countries in the sample group, particularly China and India, have consistently attracted substantial foreign capital, and their economies exhibit ongoing growth. As evident from the graphical analysis in the study, China stands out as the world leader in attracting foreign direct investment. Considering the economic size of Russia and Brazil, the geo-strategic location of Türkiye, and the natural resource wealth of China, India, and Mexico, it is apparent that these countries are central attractions for foreign direct capital. Events with significant consequences on the global stage, such as economic crises, wars, earthquakes, and elections, can induce substantial fluctuations and structural breaks in national economies. Hence, using panel data analysis techniques that allow for structural breaks in the study fills a critical gap in the literature. This approach provides a more accurate analysis of the democracy-foreign direct investment relationship in the BRICS-TM sample group. The primary limitation in the study’s analysis is the constraint arising from the variables included in the model. Additionally, selecting the BRICS-TM sample group as the focus on developing countries can be considered another limitation, restricting the evaluation of results within this specific sample framework. The study anticipates that the policy recommendations derived from the analysis findings will guide policymakers, market players, and new researchers.
The article is organized into the following sections: (1) “ Introduction ” section: This section initially furnishes broad information concerning the subject matter, elucidating the lacunae in the existing literature and delineating the limitations of the study. (2) “ Theoretical Frame and Literature Review ” section: Subsequently, the second section delves into the examination of the theoretical framework, scrutinizing the prevailing status of the literature. (3) “ Research Method and Econometric Analysis ” section: The third segment comprehensively addresses the research methodology employed and expounds upon the econometric analysis conducted. (4) “ Results ” section: The ensuing fourth chapter presents the study’s findings and results. (5) “ Discussion ” section: These results and findings are then systematically expounded upon in the fifth chapter within the context of the current literature. (6) “ Conclusion ” section: Culminating the study is a concluding section encapsulating the critical insights derived, followed by policy recommendations.
As previously indicated, scarce studies have delved into the correlation between democracy and foreign direct investment (FDI). A comprehensive examination of the existing literature reveals a notable dearth of research focused on BRICS-TM countries, with most of them overlooking “democracy” as a variable and/or the connection between “democracy and FDI.” Conversely, researchers investigating FDI predominantly explore its associations with other variables, such as “exports and imports.”
The following two tables summarize the status of the current literature on the issue and its findings. In Table 1 , the literature on BRICS and/or BRIC + S + T + M countries, as well as its variables, methods, and findings, is given. Then, in Table 2 , the studies researching the relationship between democracy and FDI, their methodology, sample groups, and findings are summarized.
As can be seen in Table 1 , BRICS-TM countries were very rarely studied, and almost all of these studies neglected “democracy” as a variable and/or the relation between “democracy and FDI.” Alternatively, the studies that did examine FDI researched its relation with other variables such as export and import. Unique methods, such as structural break panel cointegration tests, were applied to investigate the issue, and this method comprises the novel part of the study. The details can be seen under the “ Research Method and Econometric Analysis ” section.
In summary, the literature review provided in Table 1 covers the relationship between democracy, foreign direct investment (FDI), and various other economic variables, focusing on BRICS-TM countries. Below is an analysis of the essential findings and gaps identified in the literature:
By applying AI (ChatGPT) to the information provided in Table 1 (studies on BRIC + S + T + M countries), key findings are double-checked and summarized below:
Limited focus on BRICS-TM countries: The literature review notes a scarcity of studies on BRICS-TM countries, with a lack of attention to the “democracy” variable in the context of FDI.
Variable relationships explored: Various studies investigate the relationships between different economic variables and FDI, such as oil prices, exchange rates, gross domestic product (GDP), international tourism, economic output, carbon emissions, exports, imports, and innovation.
Diverse methodologies: Researchers employ diverse methodologies, including directional analysis, panel ARDL cointegration, survey research, and panel cointegration, to analyze the relationships among variables.
Within this frame, a summary of the studies investigating the relationship between democracy and FDI or using similar variables is given in Table 2 .
As presented in Table 2 , none of the above studies analyzed the relationship among democracy, FDI, inflation , and GDP variables for BRICS-TM countries. In addition, none of the studies applied a structural break panel cointegration test in their analysis. All these gaps motivate the authors of this study to conduct such research.
Additionally, applying AI (ChatGPT) to the information provided in Table 2 , key findings from Table 2 are double-checked and summarized below (studies on the relationship between democracy and economics):
Limited studies on democracy and FDI in BRICS-TM: The literature highlights a gap in research, as none of the studies in Table 2 specifically analyze the relationship between democracy, FDI, inflation, and GDP variables in BRICS-TM countries.
Contradictory findings on democracy and economic growth: The studies in Table 2 present contradictory findings on the impact of democracy on economic growth. Some find a positive and significant effect, while others do not establish a significant relationship.
Methodological variety: Various methods, such as dynamic fixed effects, panel data regression analysis, panel cointegration, and causality analysis, are employed to explore the relationships between democracy, FDI, and economic growth.
Upon inspection of the limited studies, contradictory results emerge, even when employing data from diverse sample groups. An illustrative example is found in the work of Busse ( 2003 ), whose research can be summarized as follows:
Results from regression analysis between FDI and democracy reveal that analogous to studies by Rodrik ( 1996 ) and Harms and Ursprung ( 2002 ), multinational corporations (MNCs) exhibit a preference for countries where political rights and freedoms are legally and practically safeguarded.
Countries that enhance their democratic rights and freedoms tend to attract more FDI per capita than predicted (Busse, 2003 ).
Li and Resnick ( 2003 ) posited that investors typically favor regimes with advanced democracy and robust legal systems over states where their properties are at risk in dictatorial regimes. From this standpoint, one can infer that a significantly high level of democracy correlates with a markedly high level of FDI. In other words, property rights violations are diminished in developing countries with robust democracies, leading to increased FDI levels (Li & Resnick, 2003 ).
However, Haggard ( 1990 ) presents a contrary perspective, arguing that authoritarian regimes may appeal more to investors seeking to safeguard their economic assets and properties. An amalgamation of opposing views arises: investors from countries with underdeveloped democracies prefer collaboration with authoritarian regimes, whereas investors from developed nations lean toward familiar democratic regimes.
Despite the contradictory and complex findings from the limited number of studies on the potential relationship between democracy and FDI, it is contended that two influential factors contribute to investment flow toward countries with legally guaranteed and well-developed democratic rights. Firstly , as proposed by Spar ( 1999 ), a transition occurs from critical sectors like agriculture and raw materials to production and tertiary sectors in the flow and stock structure of FDI in developing countries. Secondly , there is a transformation in the interest and motivation of multinational enterprises toward developing countries based on sectoral development (Busse, 2003 ). This underscores the impact of democratic organizations established to secure democratic rights on FDI. In instances where poor democratic governance renders a country less appealing to foreign investors, the country faces a dilemma: choosing between the limited options of “loss of foreign capital” or “democratization” (Li & Resnick, 2003 ). Spar ( 1999 ) emphasizes that as the reliance on governments and their policies decreases, the need for a more democratic environment, a reliable and stable legal system, and appropriate market conditions becomes increasingly crucial for the overall well-being of the country’s economy.
Upon scrutinizing the most recent studies on the subject, a trend of contradictory findings becomes apparent. For instance, Yusuf et al. ( 2020 ) found that the democracy coefficient, as a variable signifying its impact on economic growth, lacks significance for West African countries in the short and long run. In contrast, Putra and Putri ( 2021 ) asserted that “democracy has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in 7 Asia Pacific countries.” Similar to Yusuf et al., in a panel data analysis encompassing the period from 1970 to 2014 and involving 115 developing countries, Lacroix et al. ( 2021 ) concluded that “democratic transitions do not affect foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows.”
A comprehensive review of existing empirical studies reveals a notable scarcity in the number of inquiries into the relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment (FDI) (Li & Resnick, 2003 ). Moreover, the available studies yield contradictory results on this matter. Addressing this issue, it is noteworthy that Oneal ( 1994 ) conducted one of the initial qualitative examinations on the impact of regime characteristics on FDI. Despite not identifying a statistically valid relationship between regime type and FDI flow, Oneal’s research is an early exploration of this intricate relationship.
Explorations into the connection between investor behavior and political regime characteristics, particularly in determining whether democratic or authoritarian features foster more foreign direct investment (FDI), have yielded divergent outcomes. Derbali et al. ( 2015 ) found a statistically significant relationship between FDI and democratic transformation. Through an econometric analysis encompassing a sample of 173 countries, with 44 undergoing democratic transformation between 1980 and 2010, the authors observed a substantial increase in FDI flow associated with democratic transitions.
Castro ( 2014 ) conducted a test examining the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) flow (the ratio of FDI flow to GDP) and indicators of “democracy” and “dictatorship” using a dynamic panel data model. Despite the analysis results failing to furnish evidence supporting a direct connection between FDI and democracy, the author emphasizes that this outcome does not negate the impact of political institutions on the flow of FDI. According to Mathur and Singh ( 2013 ), their study stands out as the inaugural examination focusing on the “importance given to economic freedom rather than political freedom” in the decision-making process of foreign investors. The authors concluded that contrary to conventional expectations, even democratic countries may attract less foreign direct investment (FDI) if they do not ensure guaranteed economic freedom. Malikane and Chitambara ( 2017 ) conducted a study exploring the relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment (FDI), employing data from eight South African countries from 1980–2014. The research findings indicate a direct and positive impact of FDI on economic growth due to the robust democratic institutions emerging as crucial catalysts in the respective sample countries.
Consequently, Malikane and Chitambara’s ( 2017 :92) study suggests that the influence of FDI on economic growth is contingent upon the level of democracy in the host country. Upon scrutinizing the studies above, a pattern of conflicting findings emerges concerning the relationship between the level of democracy and the influx of foreign direct investment (FDI) to a country . Studies commonly emphasize that the impact of democracy on FDI depends upon each country’s developmental stage. The prevalence of confusion, varying findings, and conflicting results underscores the significance of empirical analyses on this matter. A comprehensive examination of the overview identified gaps, and the need for new research is detailed under the subsequent subheading.
After a detailed overview of the existing literature, the main features and gaps can be identified as follows:
Limited studies on democracy and FDI: The literature notes a scarcity of studies examining the relationship between democracy and FDI, and existing studies present conflicting results.
Context-dependent impact of democracy: Contradictory findings suggest that democracy’s impact on FDI may vary depending on a country’s development level.
Gap in BRICS-TM studies: The identified gap in the literature is the lack of research specifically addressing the relationship between democracy and FDI in BRICS-TM countries. The need for a structural break panel cointegration test is also emphasized.
Influence of political institutions: Some studies argue that solid democratic institutions positively influence FDI, while others suggest that economic freedom, rather than political freedom, may be more crucial for attracting FDI.
Requirements for new research: To fill the gap in the literature, new research should be conducted specifically targeting BRICS-TM countries.
Thus, when c onsidering the contradictory findings, future studies should explore the contextual factors influencing the relationship between democracy and FDI in different country settings. Conducting longitudinal analyses could provide insights into the dynamic relationship between democracy and FDI over time. Comparative studies between countries with different levels of democratic development can help in understanding the nuanced impact of democracy on FDI. Last but not least, given the emphasis on structural break panel cointegration tests, future research could incorporate these analytical tools for a more comprehensive understanding of the relationships under consideration.
Last but not least, Olorogun ( 2023 ) conducted research using data from sub-Saharan countries from 1978 to 2019 and found a “long-run covariance between sustainable economic development and foreign direct investment (FDI)” and a “significant level of causality between economic growth and financial development in the private sector, FDI, and export.” So, if a significant relationship can be found between democracy and foreign direct investment, the results may also provide a useful assessment for sustainable development.
In summary, while the literature review reveals valuable insights into the complex relationship between democracy, FDI, and economic variables, there is a clear need for more targeted research in the context of BRICS-TM countries by further exploration of the contextual factors influencing these relationships.
This section of the study delves into the analysis methods and interpretations of the relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment (FDI). The presentation encompasses the dataset and model specifications concerning the variables under scrutiny. Specifically, analyses were conducted utilizing econometric analysis programs, namely, EViews 12 , Gauss 23 , and StataMP 64 . The study culminated with interpreting findings and formulating policy recommendations based on the results obtained.
The study scrutinized the hypothesis to address the initial research inquiry, asserting a correlation between democracy and foreign direct investment (FDI). The research targeted BRICS-TM countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Türkiye, Mexico) recognized for their increasing prominence in the global economy and anticipated growth in strategic significance. These seven emerging markets were chosen due to their demonstrated potential to attract FDI. The research covered annual data spanning 1994–2018 by employing panel data analysis techniques capable of accommodating structural breaks. Both democracy and foreign direct investments are susceptible to the influence of local and global dynamics, which can induce significant disruptions in the variables.
Consequently, the study utilized tests allowing for structural breaks to enhance the robustness of the analyses. The investigation aimed to uncover the long-term relationship between foreign direct investment and democracy , a critical indicator of economic development for emerging markets in recent years. The model developed for examining the relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment within the specified sample and data range is represented by Eq. 1 :
In the model, cross-section data is represented by i = 1, 2, 3,…. N , while the time dimension is represented by t = 1, 2, 3,….. T , and the error term is by ɛ.
The study’s model setup and variables were adapted from Yusuf et al. ( 2020 ), Putra and Putri ( 2021 ), and Lacroix et al. ( 2021 ) in the literature. Figure 1 shows the research design.
Research design
Table 3 shows the variables and data sources used in the model.
The study designated foreign direct investment (FDI), denoted as LNFDI, as the dependent variable. The independent variable was conceptualized as the democracy variable (DEMOC). To account for potential influencing factors, inflation (INF) and per capita income (PGDP) variables, known to impact FDI, were introduced into the model as control variables to draw upon insights from the existing literature. In the context of panel data analyses, selecting control variables involves consulting the literature to identify factors with substantial influence on the dependent variable. When examining factors impacting foreign direct investment (FDI), a frequently encountered category comprises various macroeconomic variables, among which inflation and per capita income are recurrently employed. Given the study’s sample composition—comprising the BRICS-TM countries—these two variables were incorporated into the model as control variables. This decision was motivated by their recurrent utilization in the literature and their direct relevance to foreign direct investments and production costs. Furthermore, the inclusion of these variables addressed a shared data constraint.
During the data collection phase, the study utilized indices reflecting “political rights” and “civil liberties,” which were acknowledged indicators of “democracy” in the literature. These indices, sourced from the Freedom House Database ( 2020 ), were incorporated into the analysis by calculating their means, which were then used as values for the democracy variable. This approach aligns with the practices of several researchers in the existing literature, such as Kebede and Takyi ( 2017 ), Doucoligaos and Ulubasoglu ( 2008 ), and Tavares and Wacziarg ( 2001 ), who have employed this index. The index operates on a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 represents the highest state of democracy and 7 corresponds to the lowest state. To facilitate analyses, calculations, and interpretation, the index values were scaled to ensure a range between 0 and 100.
Freedom House assesses the degree of democratic governance in 29 countries from Central Europe to Central Asia through its annual “Nations in Transit” report. The democracy score encompasses distinct ratings on various facets, including national and local governance, electoral processes, independent media, civil society, judicial framework and independence, and corruption. Most researchers (Dolunay et al., 2017 ; Martin et al., 2016 ; Osiewicz & Skrzypek, 2020 ; Steiner, 2016 ) frequently utilize the data provided by Freedom House in their studies. In addition to the independent variable of democracy (DEMOC), the model integrates control variables influencing FDI. Capitation (LNPGDP) and inflation (INF) variables were incorporated within this framework. A review of the existing literature reveals that factors affecting FDI, including inflation and per capita income, have been employed in models by researchers (Botric & Skuflic, 2005 ; Chakrabarti, 2001 ; Jadhav, 2012 ; Ranjan & Agraval, 2011 ; Vijayakumar et al., 2010 ).
In the literature, various variables such as “trade openness, level of human capital, unemployment rates, government supports, tax costs,” which are believed to influence foreign capital, are employed as control variables in models. On the other hand, in some research, the impact of institutional quality, such as democracy and governance, on environmental quality is studied. Within this frame, Shahbaz et al. ( 2023 ) found that “institutional quality variables impacted environmental quality differently. In this sense, it is detrimental for policymakers to consider concerted measures to decrease institutional vulnerabilities and reduce the level of the informal economy.” However, in this study, inflation and per capita income variables were chosen due to their prominence as the most frequently used variables in the literature (detailed in the “ Theoretical Frame and Literature Review ” section) and their comprehensive impact on foreign direct capital in terms of macroeconomics.
Furthermore, a shared data problem is evident in all variables from 1994 to 2018 for the BRICS-TM country sample group, particularly in variables other than the control variables in the model. Nevertheless, these issues have yet to be encountered as inflation and per capita income variables are comprehensive and fall within general macroeconomic data. Additionally, including many control variables in the model might obscure the significance of the effect on the dependent variable in hypothesis tests examining the relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment. Consequently, real GDP data, rather than nominal, were utilized in the analysis, and the logarithm of the data was represented as LNGDP.
As explored earlier, foreign investors prioritize economic freedom over political freedom when making investment decisions (Mathur & Singh, 2013 ). In this context, the assurance of economic liberty and the legal protection of property rights may be linked to the level of democracy, particularly in developed countries. This condition explains why the relevant variables should be incorporated into the model and tested. The logarithm of FDI (LNFDI) and per capita income (LNPGDP) variables were employed in the analyses. The rationale behind the logarithmic transformation lies in its capacity to facilitate the interpretation of analysis results and standardize variables on a specific scale. Additionally, taking logarithms of series does not result in information loss in data; it also aids in mitigating autocorrelation issues and allows the series to exhibit a normal distribution.
The primary motivation behind the conducted study is to investigate the impact of the variable “democracy” on foreign direct investments through newly developed panel data analysis tests that allow for structural breaks, which are not commonly used in political science. In this regard, the study aims to be one of the pioneering works testing the relationship between variables related to political science and economics with an interdisciplinary perspective through innovative empirical studies. The methodological framework of this study, which analyzes the relationship between democracy and FDI through annual data from the 1994–2018 periods using panel data analysis and causality test, is outlined below:
Graphical representation of variables and analysis of descriptive statistics,
CD lm1 (Breusch & Pagan, 1980 ), CD lm1 , and LM adj tests (Pesaran et al., 2008 ) were used in the analysis to find the presence of cross-section dependence of variables.
Panel LM test (Im, Lee, & Tieslau, 2010 ) determined whether variables in the model have a unit root.
Delta test (Pesaran & Yamagata, 2008 ) was used to determine the homogeneity or heterogeneity of variables.
Cointegration test with multiple structural breaks (Westerlund & Edgerton, 2008 ) was conducted to determine the presence of cointegration between variables.
Kónya’s causality test (Kónya, 2006 ) was conducted to investigate the existence of causal relationships between variables.
In terms of methodology, the study aims to address a significant gap in the literature on democracy. Given the chosen sample group and the specified period, it becomes evident that structural changes must be considered in the analysis because the variables of democracy and foreign direct investment are particularly susceptible to global developments, leading to substantial shifts in the markets. A literature review indicates a preference for general country-based time series analyses over new-generation tests, with classical panel data analyses commonly employed for the selected country group. In summary, an examination of the literature reveals that studies on this issue predominantly rely on first- and second-generation linear panel data analysis techniques. Therefore, incorporating unit root and cointegration tests is crucial in significantly contributing to the literature, particularly by acknowledging and addressing structural breaks in the study. Additionally, it aligns with the theoretical framework that variables such as democracy and foreign direct capital investments, susceptible to the influence of global developments, are prone to structural changes. Consequently, employing panel data analysis techniques with structural breaks gains significance and enhances the motivation and scientific robustness of the study, mainly when a substantial data range is available.
The study focuses on the BRICS-TM countries: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Türkiye Footnote 1 (Turkey), and Mexico . These nations have gained prominence in the global economy, and their strategic significance is anticipated to grow. The selection of this sample group is based on their demonstrated high performance and potential to attract substantial foreign direct investment globally. The study’s unique contribution lies in its examination of the impact of the democracy variable on foreign direct investments within this specific country group, employing innovative techniques not commonly found in the existing literature. Furthermore, the potential increase in foreign direct investment within these countries is expected to influence national and per capita incomes positively. The continuous enhancement of economic well-being and the rising accumulation of foreign direct investments could position these countries as new focal points of attraction in the medium and long term, fortifying their appealing characteristics.
Graphical analyses provide valuable insights into the changes and fluctuations of variables over the years in econometric studies. The visual representation and interpretations of the study variables are presented in Fig. 2 .
Graphical representation of variables
The graphical analysis reveals the trend and volatility of FDI over the study period (1994–2018). Peaks and troughs may indicate significant events or economic shifts influencing FDI.
Democracy index: The graphical representation illustrates the changes in the democracy index across the selected countries. Distinct patterns or shifts may be observed, indicating periods of democratic development or regression.
Inflation (INF): The inflation variable is depicted graphically, highlighting its trajectory over the analyzed years. Fluctuations in inflation rates may correlate with economic events impacting FDI.
Per capita income (PGDP): The per capita income variable is visually presented, demonstrating its variations and trends. Per capita income changes can influence countries’ attractiveness for foreign investments.
These graphical analyses serve as a foundation for understanding the dynamics of the variables under investigation and provide a visual context for further econometric interpretations.
So Fig. 2 provides a comprehensive overview of the variables examined in the study. The following key observations can be made:
Foreign direct investment (FDI): China stands out as the leader in attracting the highest FDI among the BRICS-TM countries. South Africa exhibits the lowest FDI levels in the sample group.
Democracy index: China also holds the highest score in the democracy index, indicating its position as the most democratic among the selected countries. South Africa, on the other hand, has the lowest democracy index score.
Per capita income (PGDP): Russia demonstrates the highest per capita income among the countries, suggesting a relatively higher economic well-being. India, conversely, has the lowest per capita income in the sample group.
Inflation (INF): Russia and Türkiye experience the highest inflation rates, while other countries exhibit fluctuating patterns at lower and similar levels.
Table 4 provides a detailed overview of the descriptive statistics for the variables under consideration. The following key statistics offer insights into the central tendencies and variations within the sample group.
The analysis of the basic descriptive statistics in Table 4 yields several noteworthy findings:
Kurtosis values: The INF variable stands out with a kurtosis value exceeding 3, indicating a sharp peak and heavy tails in its distribution. All other variables exhibit kurtosis values below 3, suggesting relatively normal distributions without excessively heavy tails.
Skewness values: LNFDI and LNPGDP variables display negative skewness values, suggesting a longer left tail in their distributions. DEMOC and INF variables exhibit positive skewness values, indicating longer right tails in their distributions.
Jarque–Bera test: The Jarque–Bera test results indicate that the variables are statistically significant and deviate from a normal distribution. This departure from normality suggests that certain factors or events influence the distributions of the variables.
These findings provide insights into the shapes and characteristics of the variable distributions. As indicated by skewness and kurtosis values, the deviations from normality suggest that the variables may be subject to specific influences or events, contributing to their non-normal distributions. Researchers should consider these distributional characteristics when interpreting the results and drawing conclusions from the dataset.
The escalating interdependence among countries in global economies has rendered them susceptible to the impact of positive or negative developments in one nation affecting others. This phenomenon directly results from the deepening global integration associated with globalization. Consequently, econometric studies must incorporate cross-section dependence tests to gauge the extent of interaction between nations. Such tests aim to quantify how a shock in one country reverberates across borders, influencing other countries of the global economic landscape.
Studies addressing cross-section dependency (Andrews, 2005 ; Pesaran, 2006 ; Phillips & Sul, 2003 ) emphasize that failing to account for cross-section analysis may lead to biased and inconsistent results. Thus, all analyses should consider cross-sectional dependence in relevant studies (Breusch & Pagan, 1980 ; Pesaran, 2004 ).
The tests used to determine cross-section dependence were as follows:
When the time dimension is greater than the cross-section dimension ( T > N ), analyses were conducted using Breusch and Pagan’s ( 1980 ) CD lm1 test.
In cases when the time dimension is equal to the cross-section dimension ( T = N ), the CD lm2 test (Pesaran, 2004 ) was used to conduct analyses.
In cases when the time dimension was smaller than the cross-section dimension ( T < N ), analyses were conducted by CD lm test (Pesaran, 2004 ).
In cases when the time dimension is both smaller and greater than the cross-section dimension, analyses were conducted (LM adj ) test (Pesaran et al., 2008 ).
This study’s analysis focuses on the relationship between democracy and FDI across BRICS-TM countries, involving seven countries. With annual data spanning 1994–2018, the cross-section dimension is denoted by N = 7 and the time dimension by T = 25. Given that T > N , the study utilized the CD lm1 test (Breusch & Pagan, 1980 ) and CD lm1 and LM adj tests (Pesaran et al., 2008 ).
Given that T > N for the countries and time dimension, the decision-making is informed by the results of the CD lm1 and LM adj tests. Notably, LM adj test results were prioritized, considering the potential bias in cross-section dependency tests associated with the CD lm1 test. The findings of the cross-section dependence tests are presented in Table 5 .
Upon reviewing Table 5 , it is evident that the probability values for all variables are less than 0.01. Consequently, based on the LM adj test results, the null hypothesis stating “there is no dependence between sections” is rejected, while the alternative hypothesis suggesting “cross-section dependence between sections” is accepted.
The outcomes of the tests align with the characteristics of the contemporary global landscape, where any impactful event or development in one of the BRICS-TM countries has reverberations across others. Whether positive or negative, changes in one BRICS-TM nation can influence others, particularly in areas related to foreign direct investment (FDI) and democracy. As a result, policymakers in these countries should craft their future strategies with a keen awareness of this interconnectedness and the potential spillover effects on FDI and democracy. Indeed, the obtained result is consistent with theoretical expectations. The observed interdependence and influential power of the BRICS-TM country group align with the current dynamics of the globalized world. Their growing significance in the world economy and their strategic importance reinforces the decision that developments within these countries have substantial implications beyond their borders. This outcome urges the need for a nuanced approach to respond to the interconnected nature of these nations in the contemporary global landscape.
In the initial phase of the econometric analysis, the stationarity of the variables in the models was determined through unit root analyses to address the spurious regression problem. Accurate results cannot be obtained when a unit root is present in a series of variables (Granger & Newbold, 1974 ). In panel data analysis, the primary consideration in stationarity tests is whether the countries are independent of each other or not. Unit root tests in panel data analysis comprise first- and second-generation tests, each with distinct characteristics. The first generation of unit root tests is further divided based on the homogeneity and heterogeneity assumptions of the countries. Some authors conducted tests under the homogeneity assumption (Breitung, 2005 ; Hadri, 2000 ; Levin et al., 2002 ), while some others pursued their analysis under the heterogeneity assumption (Choi, 2001 ; Im et al., 2003 ; Maddala & Wu, 1999 ).
Additionally, second-generation tests incorporate cross-section dependency into their analyses, whereas first-generation tests do not account for it. Given the dynamics of the global world, the use of second-generation tests in the literature is deemed more beneficial, as it is more realistic to assume that other countries will be affected by a shock experienced by one of the countries in the panel. Panel unit root tests have gained broader acceptance in time series analysis due to their ability to provide more meaningful results than standard stationarity tests. In recent years, there has been a preference for tests that allow for structural breaks, especially in series sensitive to economic variations such as foreign trade, exchange rates, and foreign capital. Hence, this study utilized panel unit root tests that consider structural breaks to assess the stationarity of variables susceptible to cyclical fluctuations, including democracy, inflation, per capita income, and FDI. Conducting stationarity tests without accounting for structural breaks can yield misleading results, making panel LM unit root tests with structural breaks the method of choice for this study.
The panel LM test (Im, Lee, & Tieslau, 2010 ) examines series in models with a level and trend, considering single and two breaks. In this study, analyses with a single break were preferred due to the shortness of the specified time interval and the events expected to cause breaks in the given period. The LM test statistics were employed to assess the hypothesis of “there is a unit root” (ϕ i = 0). Compared to others, a distinctive feature of this test is its allowance for different breaking times for different countries. Moreover, it permits a structural break under both zero and alternative hypotheses, providing an additional advantage. The asymptotic distribution of the test follows the standard normal distribution, and it remains unaffected by the presence of a structural break. Table 6 presents the stationarity analysis results of the series for seven countries based on the model allowing breaks in level.
The analysis of Table 6 yields the following observations:
In unit root models allowing for a constant break, it is evident that all variables in the panel become stationary when their differences are calculated. In other words, since the series are stationary for the entire panel at the I(1) level, the necessary conditions for cointegration tests are met. The cointegration test indicates that global and local developments in countries cause structural breaks when considering these break dates.
On a country basis, the following conclusions can be drawn from Table 6 :
For the series whose differences are calculated, the FDI variable is stationary at the level value in Russia and India, while the same variable is stationary in India and Türkiye.
The per capita income variable is stationary at a level value only in Türkiye. However, the same variable is stationary in Brazil, India, and Türkiye for the series whose differences are computed.
The inflation variable is stationary at the level value in South Africa and Mexico. However, the same variable is stationary for the series whose differences are computed in Brazil, Russia, and China.
The democracy variable is stationary at the level value in Brazil, South Africa, and Türkiye. However, the variable is stationary in Brazil, Türkiye, and Mexico for the series whose differences are computed.
Table 7 shows the stationarity analysis results of seven countries based on the model that allows breaks in level and trend.
The results in Table 7 can be analyzed based on the following points:
General panel evaluation: Foreign direct investment (FDI) and per capita income variables are stationary at the level values when the panel is considered whole. Taking the difference of these variables increases the degree of stationarity. Inflation and democracy variables, among the other variables in the model, are stationary in the series when the difference is taken. However, they exhibit unit root characteristics at the level values. Overall, all series are stationary at the I(1) level with structural breaks for the entire panel. This suggests that the necessary conditions for the cointegration test are met. The dates of structural breaks indicate that social, political, and economic developments may have caused these breaks in the BRICS-TM countries included in the sample . These findings imply that significant events and changes in the socio-political and economic landscape of the BRICS-TM countries likely influence the structural breaks in the series.
Results from Table 7 can be interpreted on a country-specific basis as follows:
Brazil: FDI and per capita income are stationary at the level value. Inflation is stationary at the level, while democracy is stationary at the difference.
Russia: FDI and per capita income are stationary at the level value. Inflation is stationary at the level, while democracy is stationary at the difference.
India: FDI is stationary at the level value. Per capita income is stationary at the level, while inflation and democracy are stationary at the difference.
China: FDI is stationary at the difference. Per capita income is stationary at the level, while inflation and democracy are stationary at the difference.
South Africa: FDI is stationary at the level value. Per capita income is stationary at the level, while inflation and democracy are stationary at the difference.
Türkiye: FDI is stationary at the level value, per capita income is stationary at the level, and inflation and democracy are stationary at the difference.
Mexico: FDI is stationary at the difference. Per capita income is stationary at the level, while inflation and democracy are stationary at the difference.
These country-specific findings indicate variations in the stationarity characteristics of the variables, highlighting the importance of considering individual country dynamics in the analysis. The results of the panel unit root tests, both with and without structural breaks, provide insights into the stationarity of the variables. The interpretation suggests that a shock to one of the countries included in the model can lead to permanent effects that do not dissipate immediately. As confirmed by the tests, the non-stationarity of the series establishes the necessary condition for cointegration tests.
Moreover, when the same tests are conducted by taking the first-order differences of all series to achieve stationarity, it is observed that the variables become stationary at the I(1) level. This indicates that the variables are integrated in the first order, aligning with theoretical expectations. The I(1) characteristic implies that the variables exhibit a tendency to return to equilibrium after a shock, supporting the notion of long-run relationships among the variables.
The homogeneity of coefficients plays a crucial role in determining the relationship between variables in panel data studies. It helps organize subsequent tests used in the analysis. The homogeneity test examines whether the change in one country is affected at the same level by other countries. Coefficients are expected to be homogeneous in models for countries with similar economic structures, while they may be heterogeneous for countries with different economic structures. Pesaran and Yamagata ( 2008 ) developed the delta test based on Swamy ( 1970 ) to determine whether the slope parameters of cross-sections are homogeneous. The null hypothesis for this test is “slope coefficients are homogeneous.” Homogeneity, in the context of panel data analysis, implies that the coefficients of the slopes are the same for all units or entities within the panel. On the other hand, heterogeneity indicates that, at least in one of the entities, the slope coefficients differ from those in the rest of the panel. Testing for homogeneity helps assess whether the relationship between variables is consistent across all units or if there are significant variations.
As seen in Table 8 , the delta homogeneity test was performed to determine whether the slope coefficients of the model differ between units.
The delta test results indicate that the slope coefficients vary between units in the long term, given that the probability values for both test statistics are smaller than 0.05, as presented in Table 8 . This result suggests that the variables exhibit heterogeneity, implying that the relationships between variables are inconsistent across all units over the long term. The obtained result aligns with expectations and is consistent with the theory, indicating that the countries within the BRICS-TM sample exhibit different structures, and the coefficients are heterogeneous. This result suggests that the relationship between variables varies across these countries, emphasizing the sample group’s diverse economic characteristics and behaviors.
Different methods are employed to determine the existence of long-term cointegration among the model’s variables. One set of methods is first-generation tests, which do not require cross-section dependence. The second set includes second-generation tests that consider cross-section dependence but do not incorporate structural breaks (Koç & Sarica, 2016 ). To obtain realistic and unbiased results, it is crucial to conduct tests that take structural breaks into account in cointegration analyses. Therefore, the panel cointegration test-PCWE (Westerlund & Edgerton, 2008 ) was employed, given that the series is stationary at the I(1) level.
PCWE was developed based on unit root tests that utilize Lagrange multiplier (LM) statistics, obtained from multiple repetitions (bootstrap). The merits of this test can be succinctly summarized as follows (Koç & Sarica, 2016 ; Göçer, 2013 ):
It takes into account cross-section dependency and structural breaks.
It accommodates heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation.
It identifies breaks at different dates for each country in terms of both constants and slopes.
Potential inherent problems in the model can be addressed with fully adjusted least squares estimators.
This test is effective in yielding reliable results even with small sample sizes.
This study opted for PCWE tests, given their robust characteristics. Additionally, considering the limited number of countries in the sample and the anticipation of few structural breaks in the specified period, the PCWE test was the preferred choice. As depicted in Table 9 , the determination of statistically significant cointegration between variables is made based on the significance levels of the probability values.
As indicated in Table 9 , cointegration is observed at a 5% significance level in the regime change model and a 1% significance level in the model without a break. The presence of cointegration suggests a long-term relationship between the variables of democracy and FDI in BRICS-TM. In simpler terms, democratic developments and FDI are correlated over the long run, indicating a balanced relationship between them. Future researchers may explore the direction of these variables across different samples. This study specifically tested the existence of a long-term relationship between FDI and democracy, and the inclusion of structural breaks was found to be significant. Governments and decision-makers, particularly in developing countries like BRICS-TM, should consider the relationship between democracy and FDI by taking structural breaks into account to attract foreign investment effectively. Therefore, it is emphasized that “any development related to democracy has the potential to influence FDI, and considering this factor is beneficial in the formulation and implementation of socio-economic policies.” No cointegration is observed in the “change at level” model. Indeed, the obtained results align with the study’s hypothesis. Considering the periods of structural breaks in the countries within the sample, it becomes evident that a long-term relationship exists between the variables incorporated into the model. This issue underscores the importance of considering not only the overall relationship between democracy and FDI but also the specific historical contexts and transitions in individual countries that might contribute to this relationship.
Regarding structural breaks in countries in the sample within the scope of cointegration in the regime change model, local and global developments, in general, cause breaks. The reasons for structural break dates in the sample countries are given in Table 10 .
The following items can be aligned with the breaking dates provided in Table 10 :
A recovery in macroeconomics and positive expectations toward agreements with the IMF became prominent after Russia’s transition economies in 1996.
2000 in Brazil is known as the period when the rapid growth trend started after passing the targeted inflation after the 1999 Russian Crisis.
Membership of China in the International Trade Union was evaluated as an essential development in the global economy in 2001.
Experiencing the biggest crisis in history in Türkiye in 2002 and starting a dominant single-party regime were remarkable developments.
The 2005 Election results in Mexico and the hurricane disasters, including an 8.7-magnitude earthquake, created significant socio-economic problems that year.
The ANC party’s coming to power alone in South Africa in 2009 was commented on as a consistent process for the national and regional economy; this situation also removed a series of uncertainties.
The devaluation experienced in India in 2016 has created a significant break.
Of course, the impact of such structural breaks should be considered. Toguç et al. ( 2023 ) argued that “differentiating these short-term and long-term effects has implications for risk management and policymaking.” Since structural break increases risks and uncertainty, foreign capital prefers to invest in other destinations.
This test (Kónya, 2006 ) investigates the existence of causality between variables using the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) estimator (Zellner, 1962 ). One advantage of this test is that the causality test can be applied separately to the countries that make up the heterogeneous panel. Another important advantage is that it is unnecessary to apply unit root and cointegration tests, as country-specific critical values are produced. According to the test results, if the Wald statistics calculated for each country are greater than the critical values at the chosen significance level, the null hypothesis of “no causality between the variables” is rejected. In other words, a Wald statistic greater than the critical value indicates that there is causality between the variables.
The Kónya causality test results provided in Table 11 revealed a causality from democracy (DEMOC) to FDI at a 1% significance level in Mexico, 5% in China, and 10% in Russia. In addition, from FDI to democracy (DEMOC), there is causality at a 5% significance level in Mexico and a 10% significance level in Russia.
According to the results in Table 12 for the causality between foreign direct investment (FDI) and PGDP, the Kónya causality tests revealed a one-way causality from PGDP to FDI at a 10% significance level in Mexico.
According to the results provided in Table 13 for the causality between foreign direct investment (FDI) and inflation (INF), the results of the Kónya causality tests revealed a one-way causality from inflation to FDI at a 10% significance level in Türkiye and, conversely, a one-way causality from FDI to inflation at a 10% significance level in South Africa.
The study investigated the nexus between democracy and foreign direct investment (FDI) using annual data from a sample of seven countries within emerging markets from 1994–2019. According to cross-section dependence test results, all variables’ probability values were less than 0.01, indicating significant cross-section dependence. The rejection of the null hypothesis, stating “there is no dependence between sections” in favor of the alternative hypothesis suggesting “there is cross-section dependence between sections,” aligns with the contemporary global landscape. In today’s interconnected world, any impactful event or development in one of the BRICS-TM countries has reverberations across others, particularly in areas related to FDI and democracy. These findings underscore the imperative for governments and policymakers in these countries to craft future strategies with a keen awareness of this interconnectedness and the potential spillover effects on FDI and democracy.
Furthermore, the outcomes of the panel unit root test indicate that all variables in the panel become stationary at the I(1) level when their differences are calculated, meeting the necessary conditions for cointegration tests. This result suggests that global and local developments in countries cause structural breaks when considering these break dates. Variations in stationarity characteristics of variables were observed on a country basis, highlighting the importance of considering individual country dynamics in the analysis.
The delta homogeneity test results suggest that the variables exhibit heterogeneity, implying that the relationships between variables are inconsistent across all units over the long term. This aligns with expectations and emphasizes the diverse economic characteristics and behaviors within the sample group of BRICS-TM countries.
The Westerlund-Edgerton cointegration test results reveal significant cointegration between variables, observed at a 1% significance level in the model without a break and a 5% level in the regime change model. This result signifies a sustained relationship between FDI and democracy in BRICS-TM countries over the long term. Future researchers may explore the direction of these variables across different samples, while governments and decision-makers should consider this relationship, particularly in developing countries, to attract foreign investment effectively.
Kónya’s causality test results also provided significant causality between some of the variables in some countries within the sample group. Firstly, there is a causality from democracy (DEMOC) to FDI in Mexico (1% significance level), in China (5% significance level), and in Russia (10% significance level). Secondly, there is also a significant causality from FDI to democracy (DEMOC) in Mexico (5% significance level) and in Russia (10% significance level). Thirdly, a one-way causality could only be found from PGDP to FDI in Mexico (10% significance level). Fourthly, there is also a one-way causality from inflation to FDI in Türkiye (10% significance level) and a one-way causality from FDI to inflation in South Africa (10% significance level). Thus, Kónya’s causality test results supported the hypothesis of the research with significant results.
In conclusion, the empirical findings establish a statistically significant and robust relationship between the level of democracy and the flow of FDI in BRICS-TM countries. These findings underscore the intertwined nature of political and economic dynamics within these nations and highlight the importance of considering both aspects in policy formulation and decision-making processes.
The relationship between the democracy level and foreign direct investment (FDI) of BRICS-TM countries is an area that requires further exploration. Subsequently, comparing the findings of this study with those of previous research reveals its significance. While earlier studies predominantly concentrated on the preferences of host countries in attracting foreign investment, few delved into the factors influencing foreign investors’ choices. A notable exception is by Li and Resnick ( 2003 ), who highlighted the pivotal question of “Why do companies invest in foreign countries?” and proposed a theory positing that “democratic institutions impact FDI flow in both positive and negative ways” (Li & Resnick, 2003 :176). Their conclusions from data analysis of 53 developing countries spanning 1982–1995 align with the current study’s outcomes. Specifically, they found that (1) advancements in democracy lead to heightened property rights protection, fostering increased FDI inflows, and, (2) conversely, democratic improvements in underdeveloped nations result in diminished FDI flows. These findings correspond with our study, given that the sampled countries are a mix of developing and developed nations, mirroring the first scenario described by Li and Resnick.
Derbali et al. ( 2015 ) concluded in a similar vein in their study, examining a massive dataset spanning from 1980 to 2010 with 173 countries, 44 of which underwent democratic transformation. Their observation that “variables related to human development and individual freedom initiate the democratic transformation process, contrary to the social heterogeneity variable” aligns with the results of the present study when interpreted in reverse. This scenario prompts a chicken-and-egg question: Does the level of democracy positively influence the flow of FDI, or does FDI flow positively impact the level of democracy? The authors tackled this issue in the second stage of their analysis and determined that democratic transformation leads to a substantial increase in FDI inflows. Our findings corroborate this perspective with evidence from a different sample group of countries.
Malikane and Chitambara ( 2017 ) concluded in their study analyzing the relationship between FDI, democracy, and economic growth in eight South African countries from 1980 to 2014 that the FDI variable exhibits a direct and positive impact on economic development, explicitly implicating that strong democratic institutions serve as notable drivers of economic growth. Their findings suggest that the effect of FDI on economic growth is contingent on the level of democracy in the host country. In another study on developing countries, Khan et al. ( 2023 ) found that specific determinants of good governance, such as control of corruption, political stability, and voice and accountability, significantly attract FDI inflows. However, other determinants, including government effectiveness, regulatory quality, political system, and institutional quality, significantly reduce FDI inflows. On the contrary, they found that in Asian countries, all institutional quality indicators except control of corruption have a significant and positive effect on FDI inflows (Khan et al., 2023 ). The significant relationships identified between these phenomena across various indicators for developing and Asian countries align with the findings of our study.
Developed and developing nations actively engage in concerted efforts to attract foreign capital investments in the contemporary global economic landscape. Foreign direct investments (FDIs) stand out as a pivotal form of investment that significantly influences a country’s growth and development trajectory. The inflow of direct foreign capital brings multifaceted contributions to a nation’s economy, encompassing vital aspects such as capital infusion, technological advancement, elevated management standards, expanded foreign trade opportunities, employment generation, sectoral discipline, access to skilled labor, and risk mitigation.
In addition to all these, foreign direct investment (FDI) holds significant importance not only in the general context of sustainability but also specifically in sustainable development. To better understand this close relationship between sustainable development and FDI, first briefly examine the concept of sustainability. Simply put, sustainability entails maintaining a favorable condition through methods that cause no harm yet are supportable, legally and scientifically verifiable, defendable, and implementable (Ratiu, 2013 ). From a developmental perspective, it signifies maintaining continuity without losing control. According to Menger ( 2010 ), sustainability can be defined as the ability to grow and survive independently. The author emphasizes that the concept of sustainability is closely related to “creativity” and “cultural vitality,” as well as being an “internally growing” and “self-sustaining” trend with innovative effects that also attract different social strata.
Within the context of all these existing barriers and dilemmas, managing the process of reducing the negative aspects while increasing and offering the positives to people must be handled with care. This intricate process, termed sustainable development, is like the search for the cosmos in chaos as it aims to balance the economic, environmental, and social dimensions of both local urban areas and regional and national areas, and even the global sphere, especially with climate change becoming one of the main negative impacts on the environmental dimension. Gazibey et al. ( 2014 ) also noted that, while some problem areas, such as “poverty reduction” are mainly related to the economic and somewhat to the social dimensions of sustainability, other issues like “climate change” and “reduction of carbon footprint” are more related to the environmental dimension. An in-depth examination reveals that many problems, which may initially seem related to a single dimension, are intertwined with multiple dimensions. Thus, while attracting foreign direct investment to a country may seem primarily related to the economic dimension at first glance, it is closely linked to environmental and social dimensions.
In its most straightforward approach, meeting and satisfying the basic needs of individuals will subsequently prioritize higher-level needs. This, in turn, will support sustainable development in all three dimensions. Thus, while foreign capital invested in a country may initially support economic sustainability, its contribution to the socio-economic levels of individuals will lay the groundwork primarily for social and educational improvement in the medium and long term, secondarily for environmental enhancement to result in a more livable environment. For example, Xu et al. ( 2024 ) argued that “China is currently exploring a sustainable development mode of collaborative governance.” In a good level of governance, all social partners expected to be affected by the possible policies are included in the decision-making process. This process is related to and supports the participation dimension of democracy. So, as the pieces of a chain, a good level of democracy supports the level of governance, and governance supports the accumulation of FDI and economic performance. Consequently, these favorable conditions might pave the way for sustainable development. Another study (Olorogun, 2023 ) found a long-run relationship between financial development in the private sector and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa, with the data spanning from 1978 to 2019. According to the results of the author’s research, there is a long-run covariance between sustainable economic development and foreign direct investment (FDI) and a significant level of causality between economic growth and financial development in the private sector, FDI, and export.
Indeed, sustainability resembles a ball resting on a three-legged stool: Any absence or imbalance in one of this tripod’s economic, social, or environmental legs will cause the ball to fall. In other words, sustainable development requires addressing all three dimensions in a balanced manner.
This idea brings us to the focus of this research: The level of democracy and the FDI variable and the relationship between these variables essentially concerns all three dimensions. In countries with a higher level of democracy, the possibility of developing policies that consider citizens’ demands and preferences is higher than in countries with lower levels of democracy. Conversely, in countries with lower levels of democracy , the likelihood of prioritizing the preferences and gains of specific individuals or groups over issues such as sustainability, environmental protection, and social welfare is higher. Consequently, this situation will negatively affect both the potential level of FDI attracted to the less developed country and, ultimately, the sustainable development momentum.
To sum up, numerous factors play a crucial role in shaping decisions related to foreign direct investments. Particularly in underdeveloped and developing countries, where domestic capital accumulation might be insufficient, the preference for attracting direct foreign capital investments emerges as a strategic choice over external borrowing. This strategic approach is driven by fostering economic development and sustainable growth while leveraging the benefits associated with foreign capital inflows.
The empirical evidence on the relationship between democracy and the level of foreign direct investment (FDI) often presents conflicting results, influenced by variations in study periods and sample compositions. Notably, these disparities can be traced back to the differing development levels of countries under scrutiny.
Reviewing previous studies reveals a recurring pattern wherein developed countries exhibit a positive and significant correlation between democracy and FDI. Conversely, in underdeveloped or developing nations, a negative relationship tends to prevail between these two variables. This disparity hinges on the distinct behavior of capital owners seeking to invest in already developed countries, where business transactions are grounded in established legal frameworks, property rights, and the rule of law. In contrast, underdeveloped and developing countries often witness capital owners engaging in potentially illicit and unethical business dealings with high risks and potential returns.
These arrangements are frequently based on different interests and assurances with individuals and groups in positions of power. In essence, the ease of resource acquisition, processing, and exportation in underdeveloped countries becomes contingent upon the presence of authoritarian regimes. Such relationships of interest with authoritarian regimes provide investment security for global investors. However, these regimes—keen on preserving these relationships—are disinclined to have their dealings exposed, which in turn leads to increased pressure on their citizens. The resulting mutualistic relationship transforms into a lucrative exploitation process.
When the outcomes of the panel data analysis incorporating structural breaks were examined, it was found that all variables demonstrated significance at the 1% level. The cross-sectional dependency analysis results indicated a significant cross-sectional relationship between the variables. In the panel unit root test, it was observed that the variables in the model exhibited unit roots at the level, but their differences rendered all variables stationary. The delta homogeneity test findings suggested that the variables lacked homogeneity. Furthermore, the results of the panel cointegration test with structural breaks affirmed a long-term relationship, with significance levels of 1% in the model without breaks and 5% in the regime change model. Lastly, the reached bidirectional and one-directional causality between FDI and democracy and other economic variables like inflation and PGDP in the sample group countries require policymakers to focus on each variable carefully especially on the level of democracy if they aim to reach a high level of FDI.
In conclusion, the findings of this study suggest the presence of a long-term relationship between democracy and FDI also supported by causality in some countries within the sample, as revealed through the analysis of data from BRICS-TM countries within emerging markets spanning the period 1994–2018. The significance of this relationship is particularly evident when considering the impact of structural breaks. It is emphasized that governments and policymakers in emerging markets (including those in BRICS-TM), which aim to bolster their economy’s resilience against various shocks, should not only consider structural breaks but also recognize the intricate connection between democracy and FDI. The study underscores that developments in democracy have the potential to influence FDI, emphasizing the importance of factoring this relationship into the formulation and execution of socio-economic policies. Lastly, using panel tests with a structural break, a method uncommonly employed in the empirical analysis of the democracy variable, may contribute as an additional dimension to the existing literature in this field.
In analyzing the relationship between democracy and foreign direct investment, the findings suggest a long-term relationship in all models except for the level change model. These results highlight the significance of democratic developments in the BRICS-TM countries influencing the inflow of foreign direct capital. Therefore, policymakers in emerging markets, particularly within BRICS-TM countries, are encouraged to prioritize democracy and foster democratic developments to attract foreign direct investments. Additionally, given the impact of global and local developments leading to structural breaks, it becomes crucial for these policymakers to closely monitor and interpret international and global events that may affect the resilience of their national economies, both negatively and positively. By doing so, emerging markets can enhance their resilience against various shocks, enabling policymakers to adeptly prepare their economies, private sectors, and stock markets for potential global risks.
Opting for direct foreign capital investments over external debt or short-term investments is a more rational approach for developing countries to accumulate capital for their overall development. As many countries seek to address the scarcity of capital, the understanding of the contributions of foreign capital to development improves, while global competition intensifies to attract foreign capital. Therefore, policymakers should focus on enhancing macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and national income and fostering democratic development, a fundamental trust factor for foreign capital. Demographic and institutional factors also affect the global or social fiscal pressure (Nuță & Nuță, 2020 ). Thus, as an institutional factor, positive developments at the level of democracy are fundamental in attracting foreign capital.
It is crucial for developing countries to prioritize and keep pace with indicators that foreign capital considers significant. Global companies prioritize countries they can trust, where investments can swiftly yield profits due to potential risks. The foundation of democracy in developing nations starts in the family and education realms. Proper education on the importance and necessity of democracy in the curriculum contributes to long-term awareness of democracy. Developing effective education policies within families can address intra-family democracy, fostering a culture of democracy throughout the country.
The reasons listed up to this point reiterate that attracting foreign direct investments to a country is of utmost critical importance for supporting sustainable development in all aspects of the nation. As discussed in the discussion section, while sustainability may appear to be solely related to the economic dimension at first glance, an increase in foreign direct investment toward a country has the potential to indirectly and positively impact the social and environmental dimensions of sustainability as well. When considering that the level of democracy also has a similar effect on the level of FDI, it should be expected that the level of democracy in a country is strongly correlated with the issue of sustainable development.
In conclusion, new researchers interested in this subject are recommended to conduct analyses on different country groups. Updating established models and testing hypotheses using various socio-economic indicators and analysis methods can further contribute to the literature.
The data set is uploaded to the system as a supplementary file and also uploaded to Figshare with the https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.21701966 .
Turkey’s name changed to Türkiye: According to the United Nations (UN)-Türkiye, the country’s name has been officially changed to Türkiye at the UN upon a letter received on June 1 from the Turkish Foreign Ministry (UN-Türkiye. (2022)). Turkey’s name changed to Türkiye, URL: https://turkiye.un.org/en/184798-turkeys-name-changed-turkiye , Accessed on: 02.07.2022.
Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Türkiye, Mexico
The Democracy Index variable
Ecological footprint
Gross domestic product
Logarithm of foreign direct investment
Logarithm of per capita income
Multinational corporations
Per capita income
Political institutions
Regression coefficient value
World Development Indicators
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1. From 1994 to 2018, there was significant cointegration between democracy and foreign direct investment (FDI) in BRICS-TM countries among the emerging markets.
2. Democratic developments and FDI move together in the long run and have a balanced relationship between them in Emerging Market Economies.
3. Policymakers in BRICS-TM countries need to develop democracy awareness and ensure democratic developments to attract foreign direct investment to secure a resilient economy in these emerging economies
4. Governments and decision-makers in emerging economies, such as BRICS-TM, who want to attract FDI need to consider the structural breaks and the relationship between democracy and FDI .
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